OFFICIAL TS/Hurricane Sandy Thread

[xfirefighter484x 234]

From https://www.facebook.com/HVWX1:

To be blunt and to hopefully clear up what has certainly been an information download of a day. This storm is very serious, and although there is time for things to change it is important to know that this storm will likely be larger then Irene is size, more powerful then Irene and move slower then Irene, it is a completely different monster and should not be taken lightly. As far as who in what area can expect to see an impact? The storm is currently 1600 miles across and everybody will fell its effects. What we should all be doing is utilizing the fact that not only was this storm mentioned here on Sunday,but now we still have 5 days to prepare for the worst and hope for the best. If you end up with some extra candles and batteries then so be it, but to not take advantage of having advanced knowledge of what may be a very serious storm is not something that is recommended. For the first time in history all National Weather Stations are launching extra weather balloons, the storm is striking on a full moon which will lead to worse coastal flooding. It has the potential to dump 6-12 inches of rain over a 24 hour period with and even longer period of damaging winds possible. So to sum it up it does not matter where you live, if you are in the Hudson Valley you should be aware of this threat and have a plan in place if the worst is to happen.

[x4093k 654]

Anyone know or can find out when & what time it will be hitting Northern Westchester?

[xfirefighter484x 234]

Anyone know or can find out when & what time it will be hitting Northern Westchester?

There is no definitive answer. These are all models, and the "best guess" that this hits the area is late Monday/Early Tuesday, as many people have already posted in here. I believe these posts are all referring to "landfall" of this storm, however remember the storm is bigger than just the center and will cover most of the Northeast US. This is a large storm and I expect large amounts of rain over a period of time.

[x129K 1,393]

This is a large storm and I expect large amounts of overtime over a period of time.

Fixed for you////

[xfirefighter484x 234]

Fixed for you////

Haha, ya never know.

[peterose313 345]

From https://www.facebook.com/HVWX1:

the link doesn't work. It tells me page not found

[eric12401 77]

Just know that wherever this thing makes landfall, the Hudson Valley will be affected, severity depending on where it makes landfall.

[peterose313 345]

This is the latest info regarding the storm. Note: This came from Reed Timmer, a storm chaser who has been following the storm very closely.

[SageVigiles 1,194]

Well latest models put landfall of a direct hit into Jersey somewhere, though that's obviously subject to change between now and the next few days. Plus, as someone mentioned, this is a geographically BIG storm, so to say we're not going to get hit in Westchester/CT might be premature.

I'm not a run out, stock up type of person but this is a good time to talk with your family and go over your personal emergency plans. You'll be a much more effective responder if your mind is at ease about your family situation.

[HubEng21 14]

Well latest models put landfall of a direct hit into Jersey somewhere, though that's obviously subject to change between now and the next few days. Plus, as someone mentioned, this is a geographically BIG storm, so to say we're not going to get hit in Westchester/CT might be premature.

I'm not a run out, stock up type of person but this is a good time to talk with your family and go over your personal emergency plans. You'll be a much more effective responder if your mind is at ease about your family situation.

Agreed. Stay safe everyone.

For those looking for a trusted weather facebook page, check out the Forensic Weather Consultants page. Pretty good. The guy will be on good morning america this morning.

[eric12401 77]

The 8am update from the National Hurricane Center has it landfalling farther south into Delaware.

[JetPhoto 626]

This storm is forcasted to hit the tri-state region and hang around possibly due a figure 8 and will constantly maintain low pressure with tightly wrapped isobar's (which means constant heavy winds) This storm is going to cause a mess!

But at least it won't be a blizzard....

[peterose313 345]

The further south it hits, the less impact it will have on us. We can only hope the European model is correct, which has it making landfall further south. Otherwise the estimated path for landfall is between Yonkers and Jersey

[BIGRED1 71]

This thing looks massive. Even if it hits Delaware, it gonna dump a ton of rain and moisture into our path. I would expect a couple of days of the suck. Don't forget like 7 changes of clothing and dry socks if your working this weekend.

On the upside, if it hits Monday / Tuesday we will all have stocked up on emergency food consisting of snickers, milking way , M&M's , and Milk Duds

[SageVigiles 1,194]

Per an update from CT Dept of Emergency Services and Public Protection, the storm hitting Delaware/Jersey puts CT in the path of some VERY strong winds and rain.

My sister goes to Culinary in Hyde Park, anyone know what's expected for that part of Dutchess?

[eric12401 77]

Per an update from CT Dept of Emergency Services and Public Protection, the storm hitting Delaware/Jersey puts CT in the path of some VERY strong winds and rain.

My sister goes to Culinary in Hyde Park, anyone know what's expected for that part of Dutchess?

Lots of rain and lots of wind!

[xfirefighter484x 234]

Per an update from CT Dept of Emergency Services and Public Protection, the storm hitting Delaware/Jersey puts CT in the path of some VERY strong winds and rain.

My sister goes to Culinary in Hyde Park, anyone know what's expected for that part of Dutchess?

Lots of rain and lots of wind!

Sounds about right! Same with the rest of the ENTIRE Hudson Valley!!

[effd3918 34]

And slowly but surely the NWS and NOAA is bringing it much to our south. Rainfall amounts now between 2-4 inches. Hype!!

[xfirefighter484x 234]

And slowly but surely the NWS and NOAA is bringing it much to our south. Rainfall amounts now between 2-4 inches. Hype!!

Its not hype!! Dynamic models are subject to change! It is those who freak out who create they hype!!

[x129K 1,393]

This sucks.

[38ff 250]

Check the chainsaws and portable pumps for sure!

[eric12401 77]

The European model has now shifted north making a landfall in New Jersey, which is NOT what we wanted. It previously had it making landfall in the Delmarva Peninsula.

[50-65 205]

Anyone familar with airport operations? My wife is supposed to be flying from Florida to Westchester on Monday morning. How much rain/wind will they fly in?

On another note, how many of you have employers that support you as volunteers? When talking about the storm at work, one of the guys who is a volunteer FF said he might not be in Monday/Tuesday. He was told that if he didn't come in, not to show up the rest of the week either.

[mikeinet 37]

We've had a few conversations at work about business continuity during adverse weather... for us it's fully expected to you to be "at work" if not physically, than working from home...

[xfirefighter484x 234]

Gov. Cuomo Issues State of Emergency for all of NYS.

http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2012/10/breaking-news-gov-cuomo-declares-state-of-emergency-for-new-yorks-62-counties

http://www.nyalert.gov/

http://www.dhses.ny.gov/

[helicopper 1,050]

And slowly but surely the NWS and NOAA is bringing it much to our south. Rainfall amounts now between 2-4 inches. Hype!!

To call it hype at this point is premature. There's still a lot of latitude in the forecast models and the error range has been 175 NM. That's a huge range! Regardless, even if the storm hits the Delmarva Peninsula, we will be right in the path of the rotation of the storm and during a full moon.

People I'm talking to are likening this storm to the nor'Easter of 1992 that hammered our region; this storm could be every bit of that and then some. 1-2 inches or rain causes flooding and this has the potential to bring twice that.

Don't be too quick to blow this off.

[drgripsthrowawaytowel 72]

On another note, how many of you have employers that support you as volunteers? When talking about the storm at work, one of the guys who is a volunteer FF said he might not be in Monday/Tuesday. He was told that if he didn't come in, not to show up the rest of the week either.

Wasn't a law just passed that allows volunteers to take off a few hours with no penalty, but anything over that, needs to come out of their own time off bank?

[peterose313 345]

Storm forecast prompts cancellations

http://www.lohud.com/article/20121026/NEWS/310260097/Storm-forecast-prompts-cancellations?odyssey=tab|topnews|text|Frontpage

[peterose313 345]

MAYOR MIKE SPANO DECLARES STATE OF EMERGENCY FOR CITY OF YONKERS

ORDERS EMERGENCY PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES TO PROTECT RESIDENTS FROM IMPACT OF “SANDY”

http://www.yonkersny...9&recordid=1225

Edited October 27, 2012 by peterose313

[SteveOFD 176]

The further south it hits, the less impact it will have on us. We can only hope the European model is correct, which has it making landfall further south. Otherwise the estimated path for landfall is between Yonkers and Jersey

It would have to hit quite a bit farther South to have less impact on us. From the NOAA website - Hurricane Basics http://hurricanes.noaa.gov/pdf/hurricanebook.pdf page ten states that the right side of a hurricane is the most dangerous.

A hurricane is a low pressure system that in the Northern hemisphere rotates counter-clockwise. This counter-clockwise rotation combined with the forward motion (typically Northward) means that the combined wind speed is faster on the right side (East) and slower on the left side (West). See the above noted link for more detailed info.

Let's all stay safe out there.