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Winter Weather Alert 1-13-08

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Severe Weather Alert

Winter Storm Watch

/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0001.080114T0200Z- 080114T1700Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC- BERGEN- EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON- UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)- BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)- QUEENS-NASSAU- NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- 410 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY EVENING AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY SUNDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF MONDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOWFALL BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE SNOW AMOUNTS... DEPENDING ON THE TRACK THE STORM TAKES.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW... SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

sounds like a poss snow day!!

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Sounds like a fun Sunday night and even greater Monday morning! :lol:

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Sunday night into to Monday morning a costal storm is expected to bring 6-12 inches of snow to the area.

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DEPENDING ON THE TRACK THE STORM TAKES

Famous words, the old disclaimer! Either way I better gas up the ATV and fill up the tires, cause its on!

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So far this winter, the snowfall forecasts have been way off the mark: on the low side.

We've been lucky.

I'm not complaining, mind you, that's all that much less snow that I have to move! :P

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With the track of the strom really up in the air at this point...probably just get some snow flurries

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NWS National Weather Service

Sunday, January 13, 2008

4:45 AM

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Heavy Snow Warning

Today: Increasing clouds, with a high near 45. Calm wind becoming east between 4 and 7 mph.

Tonight: A chance of rain before 9pm, then periods of rain and snow between 9pm and midnight, then periods of snow after midnight. Low around 28. East wind between 5 and 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.

Monday: Periods of snow, mainly before 9am. High near 33. North wind between 9 and 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Monday Night: A slight chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 22. North wind between 6 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

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6-12 inches is a dusting in the Sierra Nevada mountains who recently were hit with 5 FEET of snow. Thats right 60 inches. Fire up the ATV's it is definetely on. :lol:

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Either snow, or don't

Winters really suck over the past few years. It's either rain, or a "wintery mix". And, we usually get a legit snowstorm in March or April.

If it's going to be cold and wintery, I'd rather it be true SNOW. Old Man Winter, come back!

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Alert / Warning

Meteorological

THIS IS AN ACTUAL EVENT

Issued By: NY-Alert

Affected Jurisdictions: Putnam, Westchester Counties

Headline: HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST MONDAY

...WINTER STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF AROUND NOONTIME MONDAY WITH A TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 8 TO 12 INCHES.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

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Were probably gonna get 2 inches of ice :angry:

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Were probably gonna get 2 inches of ice :angry:

Or 12 inches of "partly-cloudy"... :P

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Let it snow Let it snow , Im off tomarow

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In any case, a 100% chance of weather. No matter what, I still have to be at work at 8am. Might have to leave the house at 7:30 instead of 7:45 for that long commute of 8 miles.

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Let it snow Let it snow , Im off tomarow

i might not have school tomorrow

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Yea, I agree with the majority of posters here. Predictions mean jack squat to me. They have been so inaccurate these few past years (more than normal). High snow predictions lead to a dusting, no snow, or anything BUT snow (rain, ice, wintry mix).

Oh, the weather outside is frightful

But the fire is so delightful

And since we've no place to go

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Ole Man Winter get the _______(insert favorite word not allowed here) out of here!

COME ON MAY!

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Ole Man Winter get the _______(insert favorite word not allowed here) out of here!

COME ON MAY!

Awww, come on x129k!!!! I'm sure you love the winter as much as I do!!!! :lol:

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Yea, I agree with the majority of posters here. Predictions mean jack squat to me. They have been so inaccurate these few past years (more than normal). High snow predictions lead to a dusting, no snow, or anything BUT snow (rain, ice, wintry mix).

Oh, the weather outside is frightful

But the fire is so delightful

And since we've no place to go

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

i can remember a few years ago, the schools were closed 24 hours before the storm was to hit. The day of the storm it was sunny skies, not a snow flake had fallen. I can also remember shoveling 8" of snow flurries.

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Awww, come on x129k!!!! I'm sure you love the winter as much as I do!!!! :lol:

I'd be happy if the calender went from March to December.....

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i can remember a few years ago, the schools were closed 24 hours before the storm was to hit. The day of the storm it was sunny skies, not a snow flake had fallen. I can also remember shoveling 8" of snow flurries.

Yea, I remember those days. Wasted our Snow Days!!!!!

I'd be happy if the calender went from March to December.....

Lol!!

Edited by xfirefighter484x

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The NWS just updated the Heavy Snow Warning for all of Connecticut to last from 9pm Sunday until 7pm Monday, with estimates of 7-14 inches.

Now I know it is pretty much self explanatory but I have never heard of a Heavy Snow Warning, is this a new designation, and how is it different from Winter Storm Warnings that are usually used this time of year?

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I say that if we get 1" or 14 that all the brothers and sisters working in this stuff stay safe and remember That Your safety comes first.

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The NWS just updated the Heavy Snow Warning for all of Connecticut to last from 9pm Sunday until 7pm Monday, with estimates of 7-14 inches.

Now I know it is pretty much self explanatory but I have never heard of a Heavy Snow Warning, is this a new designation, and how is it different from Winter Storm Warnings that are usually used this time of year?

Read; "cardiac arrest snow"

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The NWS just updated the Heavy Snow Warning for all of Connecticut to last from 9pm Sunday until 7pm Monday, with estimates of 7-14 inches.

Now I know it is pretty much self explanatory but I have never heard of a Heavy Snow Warning, is this a new designation, and how is it different from Winter Storm Warnings that are usually used this time of year?

The following was taken from www.cincyweather.net:

National Weather Service Watches, warnings and advisories

Blizzard warning: Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph occurring in combination with considerable falling and/or blowing snow for a period of at least three hours. Visibilities will frequently be reduced to less than one-quarter mile and temperatures will often remain extremely cold in a blizzard.

Heavy snow warning: Snow accumulations are expected to approach or exceed six inches in 12 hours but will not be accompanied by significant wind. A heavy snow warning could also be issued if eight inches or more of accumulations are expected in a 24 hour period. In addition, during a heavy snow warning, freezing rain and sleet are not expected.

Ice storm warning: A significant coating of ice, one-quarter inch or more, is expected.

Wind chill warning: Life-threatening wind chills reach minus 50 or lower. Criteria varies across the nation.

Winter storm watch: A significant winter storm may affect your area, but its occurrence, location and timing are still uncertain. A winter storm watch is issued to provide 12 to 36 hours notice of the possibility of severe winter weather. A watch will often be issued when neither the path of a developing winter storm nor the consequences of the weather event are as yet well defined. Ideally, the winter storm watch will eventually be upgraded to a warning when the nature and location of the developing weather event becomes more apparent. A winter storm watch is intended to provide enough lead time so those who need to set plans in motion can do so.

Winter storm warning: Issued when hazardous winter weather is occurring, imminent or likely. A warning is used for winter weather conditions posing a threat to life and property. A winter storm warning are usually issued for heavy snow approaching or exceeding six inches, ice accumulations, dangerous wind chills, or a combination of the three. Warnings can be issued for lesser amounts of snow, say 3 to 6 inches, if the snow occurs with strong winds in excess of 20 miles an hour and/or significant sleet or heavy ice accumulations from freezing rain. Expected snow accumulation during a winter storm warning is four inches or more in 12 hours or six inches or more in 24 hours at low, flat areas such as the Plains or South. For mountainous areas less than or equal to 7,000 feet, a snowfall of six inches or more in 12 hours or 10 inches or more in 24 hours would prompt a warning. For elevations greater than 7,000 feet, snowfall of eight inches or more in 12 hours or 12 inches or more in 24 hours would qualify for a warning.

Winter weather definitions

Blizzard: Winds of 35 mph or more along with considerable falling and/or blowing snow reducing visibility to less than one-quarter mile for three or more hours. Extremely cold temperatures often are associated with dangerous blizzard conditions, but are not a formal part of the definition. The hazard created by the combination of snow, wind and low visibility significantly increases, however, with temperatures below 20 degrees.

Blowing snow: Wind driven snow that reduces visibility to six miles or less causing significant drifting. Blowing snow may be snow that is falling and/or loose snow on the ground picked up by the wind.

Drifting snow: Uneven distribution of snowfall caused by strong surface winds. Drifting snow does not reduce visibility.

Flurries: Light snow falling for short durations. No accumulation or just a light dusting is all that is expected.

Freeze: Occurs when the surface air temperature is expected to be 32 degrees Fahrenheit or below over a widespread area for a significant period of time.

Freezing rain or drizzle: Occurs when rain or drizzle freezes on surfaces such as trees, cars and roads, forming a coating or glaze of ice. Temperatures above the ground are warm enough for rain to form, but surface temperatures are below 32 degrees Fahrenheit, causing the rain to freeze on impact. Even small accumulations of ice can be a significant hazard.

Frost: Describes the formation of thin ice crystals on the ground or other surfaces. Frost develops when the temperature of the earth's surface falls below 32 degrees Fahrenheit, but because frost is primarily an event that occurs as the result of radiational cooling, it frequently occurs with air temperatures in the middle 30s.

Graupel: Small pellets of ice created when supercooled water droplets coat, or rime, a snowflake. The pellets are cloudy or white, not clear like sleet, and often are mistaken for hail.

Heavy snow: Depending on the region of the USA, this generally means that four or more inches of snow has accumulated in 12 hours, or six or more inches of snow in 24 hours.

Ice storm: An ice storm is used to describe occasions when damaging accumulation of ice are expected during a freezing rain situation. Significant accumulations of ice are defined as one-quarter inch or greater. This can cause trees, utility and power lines to fall down causing the loss of power and communication.

Sleet:Rain drops that freeze into ice pellets before reaching the ground. Sleet usually bounces when hitting a surface and does not stick to objects. However, it can accumulate like snow and cause a hazard to motorists. Heavy sleet occurs when a half of an inch of sleet accumulates.

Snow showers: Snow falling at varying intensities for brief periods of time. Some accumulation is possible.

Snow squalls: Intense, but of limited duration, periods of moderate to heavy snowfall, accompanied by strong, gusty surface winds and possible lightning.

Watch: A watch is used when the risk of a hazardous weather event has increased significantly, but the occurrence, location and timing are still uncertain.

Warning/Advisory: These products are issued when a hazardous weather event is occurring, is imminent or has a very high probability of occurrence. A warning is used for conditions posing a threat to life or property. Advisories are for less serious conditions that cause significant inconvenience and, if caution is not exercised, could lead to situations that may threaten life and property.

Whiteout: A condition caused by falling and/or blowing snow that reduces visibility to nothing or zero miles; typically only a few feet. Whiteouts can occur rapidly often blinding motorists and creating chain-reaction crashes involving multiple vehicles. Whiteouts are most frequent during blizzards.

Wind chill: The wind chill is based on the rate of heat loss from exposed skin caused by the combined effects of wind and cold. As the wind increases, heat is carried away from the body at an accelerated rate, driving down the body temperature. This temperature is the reading the body "feels" given the combination of wind and air temperature. At wind speeds of four mph or less, the wind chill temperature is the same as the actual air temperature. (Related graphic: Wind chill chart)

Source: National Weather Service

On that note bring it on baby...been aching to try out the new truck. :D Not to mention going skiing this weekend. I just hope it is quiet untill I get off of work at 0700. Stay safe all!!!

Edited by CAM502

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334 PM EST SUN JAN 13 2008

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 PM EST MONDAY.

THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING INCLUDES NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN... CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS... AND SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE.

SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 14 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY MONDAY EVENING.

SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND MIDNIGHT NEAR THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY AND WILL REACH THE MERRIMACK VALLEY AROUND 4 AM. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE DAYBREAK...AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY.

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF MONDAY AFTERNOON... FIRST NEAR THE CONNECTICUT VALLEY AROUND 2 PM AND THEN IN THE MERRIMACK VALLEY AROUND 5 PM.

DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM MONDAY...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY. TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS FROM THE COMBINATION OF POOR VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS.

If I got a snow day tomorrow then first day back I have 2 exams! That's why I'm hoping for a delay! (much to the dismay of my classmates) :P

Mike

Edited by Future Fireman

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Putnam 911 is pulling the B-Line (0800-1600) in at 0600 tomorrow.

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With all of the advanced warning we've had for this snow "event", do you think the roads will be clear any sooner?

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Right now It's raining in Southern Dutchess and My sons school district is closed for the storm :o

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