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Possible Weather Event

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Weather Blog

Looks like a system between Bermuda and the Bahamas has the capability of bringing some nasty weather to the tristate region, it's worth keeping an eye on.... check your pumps for the flooded basement calls.

storm_99.gif

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WCBS TV

(CBS) NEW YORK A potentially major storm is brewing out in the Atlantic Ocean and could wreak havoc along the east coast, including New York City beginning Sunday, forecasters say.

The storm has been checked out by hurricane hunters and so far it hasn't been given a name or a number. It's a low pressure system sitting about 500 miles off the Carolina coast. As it continues to become more organized and escape the wind shear, computer models agree it will do a U-turn and push back in the direction of the east coast.

The thinking is once that wind shear is taken out of the equation, high pressure will push the system back up the coast. There are three computer models creating different paths of the storm.

In the first scenario, the storm goes over land in the Carolinas and weakens, which means it would bring heavy rain and tropical storm force wind at best to the tri-state region.

The second model shows the worst-case scenario for the area. The storm hugs the shore and stays over water, allowing it into intensify, possibly into a low-level hurricane, that could blow into the region.

For the third scenario, the most likely bet to happen, the storm stays off-shore and the western side of the system would bring significant winds and rain, but the bulk of the system would not hit the area.

In nine computer models tracking the storm, each one agreed the system would at least take that U-turn back toward the coast. Still, it's way too early to predict just how strong the system will become and forecast exactly what it will bring to the region. CBS 2 and wcbstv.com will continue to monitor the progress of this system.

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Just what we do not need a possible hurricane.

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We do if I can get some OT out of it.

Getting the Christmas shopping done early??

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A weather event?? Can I get tickets??(Thank you George Carlin) preferably Orchestra Center??

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we are so slow(i know its a good thing) i would even go for a pump out!

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OK. If this thing gets close on Saturday I need all EMTbravo er's to go out side face south take a deep breath and all exhale at the same time at 2300 hrs.

Sunday is the opener for the Jets vs. Patriots and I want to tailgate.

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We do if I can get some OT out of it.

Bingo. Too bad this one is gonna hit at the beginning of the week, and not the end where they would suspend the damn overtime cap.

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THE SKY IS FALLING THE SKY IS FALLING "CHICKIN LITTLE" :P

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OK. If this thing gets close on Saturday I need all EMTbravo er's to go out side face south take a deep breath and all exhale at the same time at 2300 hrs.

Sunday is the opener for the Jets vs. Patriots and I want to tailgate.

now why would you want to do something like that... you don't wanna pay big money for gameday goodies in the stadium??? but ill help you out als i got ya. looks like you are gonna be getting wet.

http://weather.wcbstv.com/US/NY/New_York.html

Sun-Tues is what its looking like.

Edited by MoFire390

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OK. If this thing gets close on Saturday I need all EMTbravo er's to go out side face south take a deep breath and all exhale at the same time at 2300 hrs.

Sunday is the opener for the Jets vs. Patriots and I want to tailgate.

Technically, we need to face north, inhale, turn south and exhale, but I had the weather rescheduled to Monday, just for you.

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I think were all ready to take on anything. Westchester can handle anything.

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We do if I can get some OT out of it.

2nd that...I only got two shots so far this pay period! Unfortunately both day tours which are the worst in the world, not workload wise...people wise/brass wise.

Just don't want to work in fire if it floods again! What a mess that was back in April...no fun!

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Here is the latest...does not look good.

National Hurricane Center

000

ABNT20 KNHC 071515

TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

1130 AM EDT FRI SEP 7 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED THIS MORNING

WITHIN THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE

SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY

FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR

TROPICAL STORM COULD FORM LATER TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE

HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM

THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD OR

NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND INTERESTS ALONG

THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE

PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER KNABB

Edited by CAM502

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000

WTNT32 KNHC 080243

TCPAT2

BULLETIN

SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 1

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007

1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 07 2007

...LOW PRESSURE AREA OFF SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES

DEVELOPS INTO SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH

CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM EDISTO BEACH NORTHWARD TO

OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH

MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH

AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE BROAD AND ELONGATED CENTER OF

SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...

LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST OR ABOUT 385 MILES...625 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE

LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...16

KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE

NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24

HOURS.

WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM TO THE NORTH

OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.

GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2

TO 4 INCHES ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH

CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...30.4 N...72.2 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45

MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500

AM EDT.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN/ROBERTS

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I'll breathe a sigh Saturday night when I haven't sent 85% of the Truck companies in the Bronx all over the place for various trees, and wires down, and trying to stave off Fallback Step 3.

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great, just what we needed MORE PUMP DETAILS!!!!! :angry: i dont know who remembers a few short months ago, that really bad rain that hit new york, our district did over 225 pumpouts in 2 days. i dont even want to think about water for at least a year......

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weather.gov

National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

Local weather forecast by "City, St" or zip code

One product issued by NWS for: New Rochelle

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY

919 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2007

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-370-CTZ008>012-NJZ002>006-011-

NYZ071>081-091000-

LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-

LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-

NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-

SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-

MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-

FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-

SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-

WATERS FROM MONTAUK POINT NY TO SANDY HOOK NJ FROM 20 TO 40 NM-

NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-

SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-

EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-

NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-

QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-

SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-

919 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL

WATERS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST

NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON...NEAR

90 DEGREES ALONG THE NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY URBAN CORRIDOR AND

ACROSS PARTS OF NEW YORK CITY...WITH HEAT INDICES APPROACHING 95

DEGREES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT AS

THE REMNANTS OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE APPROACHES AND MOVES

AWAY FROM THE REGION. WIND SPEEDS COULD APPROACH TROPICAL STORM

FORCE BEYOND 20 NM SOUTH AND EAST OF THE LONG ISLAND COAST LINE

MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

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seems more like a non-event for this area.

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